Updated 1 November 2004
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Outlook for the Presidency in the 2 November Election (updated 28 October 2004): Since 1972, 6 states have always voted for the winning Presidential Candidate: Arkansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Missouri, Ohio, and Tennessee. (Reference: 1972-2000 Presidential Election State Voting Trends Sorted by How often a state voted for the Winner.) The polls in these states show 5 prefer Bush and 1 as a toss-up. Five states: Delaware, Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire, and Pennsylvania have voted for the winner 88% of the time since 1972. The polls in these states show 4 are toss-ups and 1 prefers Kerry. Electoral vote polling data as of 23 October 2004-- Bush: 208, Kerry: 207, Undecided: 123. Between 23 to 28 October, the polls showed little significant movement: The toss-up states remained toss-ups. There is however, a small trend in the toss-up states of Colorado, Nevada, and West Virginia towards Bush and a small trend in the toss-up state of Pennsylvania towards Kerry. Colorado Amendment 36, which would have Colorado's 9 electoral votes allocated proportionately, appears to be headed to defeat. Electoral vote polling data as of 17 and 23 October 2004-- Bush: 208, Kerry: 207, Undecided: 123. Outlook for the U.S. Senate in the 2 November Election (updated 27 October 2004):
Of the 34 U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2004:
This gives the Democrats 42, the Republicans 47, and 1 Independent. 10 U.S. Senate seats are left in SOME kind of "play"... Of these 10 "in play", 1 leans Democratic and 1 leans Republican... neither Party, thus, has control of the Senate going by this total of 8 certain/likely seats alone... This leaves 8 Senate seats with toss-ups that can go either way (and, if you then- if only for the sake of the argument- do that ol' coin flip-as-chance thing and split these 8 between the Parties, you actually end up with a quite possible result of the 2 November elections re: the U.S. Senate of 47 Democrats, 52 Republicans and 1 Independent... All of which means that, should these numbers hold, there will be NO CHANGE (Republican in nominal functional control of the Senate) as a result of this year's General Election. Between 23 to 27 October, the polls showed the following changes:
Our 23 October numbers were Republicans: 52, Democrats: 47, Independent: 1. Outlook for the House of Representatives in the 2 November Election (updated 28 October 2004):
Leaving 36 U.S. House seats in at least SOME kind of "play"... Of these 36 "in play", 6 lean Democratic (giving the Democrats 197 along with the 1 "indy") while 17 lean Republican (giving the GOP side of the House aisle 224 and, thereby, retention of control of the House)... This leaves only 13 House seats such toss-ups that they can go either way (and, if you then- if only for the sake of the argument- do that ol' coin flip-as-chance thing and, in addition, give the Democrats the benefit of the doubt by giving that party 7 of these 13 to the GOP's 6, you actually end up with a quite possible result of the 5 November Elections re: the U.S. House of 230 Republicans, 204 Democrats plus their 1 allied "indy"... All of which means that, should these numbers hold, it is the Republicans who will actually gain slightly in House seats in this year's General Election. Between 23 to 28 October, the polls showed the following changes:
Our 23 October numbers were Republicans: 232, Democrats: 202, Independent: 1. Below is a state by state digest of offices up for election 2 November 2004. Each line item shows the office and possible result.
Key:
The state's electoral vote is shown in parenthesis. There are 11 Governor's chairs, 34 Senate seats, and 435 House Seats up for election in 2004. It has been a good year for incumbents. During this primary season 4 incumbents lost their bids for renomination:
By the way, the only poll that matters is the one on 2 November 2004! Information to build this list was obtained from the following sites (shown in alphabetical order). Updated 1 November 2004.
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| Office | D (Democrat) | LD (Leans Democrat) | T (Toss-up) | LR (Leans Republican) | R (Republican) | Others1 |
| President 51 states2 (538 E.V.) | 11 states2 (153 E.V.) CA (55) CT (7) DE (3) DC (3) HI (4) IL (21) MD (10) MA (12) NY (31) RI (4) VT (3) | 5 states2 (54 E.V.) ME (4) MI (17) NJ (15) OR (7) WA (11) | 11 states2 (123 E.V.) CO (9) FL (27) IA (7) MN (10) NV (5) NH (4) NM (5) OH (20) PA (21) WV (5) WI (10) | 5 states2 (55 E.V.) AZ (10) AR (6) MO (11) NC (15) VA (13) | 19 states2 (153 E.V.) AL (9) AK (3) GA (15) ID (4) IN (11) KS (6) KY (8) LA (9) MS (6) MT (3) NE (5) ND (3) OK (7) SC (8) SD (3) TN (11) TX (34) UT (5) WY (3) | |
| Senate 34 seats | 13 seats AR S3 CA S3 CT S3 HI S3 IL S3 IN S3 MD S3 NV S3 NY S3 ND S3 OR S3 VT S3 WA S3 | 1 seat WI S3 | 8 seats AK S3 CO S3 FL S3 KY S3 LA S3 NC S3 OK S3 SD S3 | 1 seat SC S3 | 11 seats AL S3 AZ S3 GA S3 ID S3 IA S3 KS S3 MO S3 NH S3 OH S3 PA S3 UT S3 | 0 seats |
| House 435 seats | 191 seats ... | 6 seats CA H20 GA H03 KS H03 OK H02 PA H13 UT H02 | 13 seats CO H03 CT H02 GA H12 KY H04 LA H03 LA H07 NM H01 NY H27 TX H01 TX H02 TX H17 TX H32 WA H08 | 17 seats AZ H01 CO H07 FL H05 GA H11 IL H08 IN H08 KY H03 MI H07 PA H06 PA H08 PA H15 TX H11 TX H19 TX H23 VA H02 WA H05 WV H02 | 207 seats ... | 1 seat VT |
| Governor 11 chairs | 1 chair DE | 3 chairs NC WA WV | 5 chairs IN MO MT NH UT | 1 chair VT | 1 chair ND | |
| Other Statewide | 40 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 3 |
| 1. Others: I: Independent, N: Nonpartisan, PNP: Partido Nuevo Progresista, PPD: Partido Popular Democratico. 2. "States": the 50 states plus the District of Columbia. | ||||||
| Alabama | ||
| President | R (9) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | R | Republican Senator Richard Shelby |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Jo Bonner |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Terry Everett |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Mike Rogers |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Robert Aderholt |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Bud Cramer |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Spencer Bachus |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Artur Davis |
| Alaska | ||
| President | R (3) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | T | **WATCH** Toss-up Former Governor Tony Knowles vs. Incumbent Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski |
| House | R | Republican Congressman Don E. Young |
| American Samoa | ||
| Governor | T | **NO INCUMBENT** |
| Delegate to the House of Representatives | D | Democratic Territorial Delegate Eni Faleomavaega |
| Arizona | ||
| President | LR (10) | **WATCH** leaning Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | R | Republican Senator John McCain |
| House 1 | LR | **WATCH** leans Republican Congressman Rick Renzi |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Trent Franks |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman John Shadegg |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Ed Pastor |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman J.D. Hayworth |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Jeff Flake |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Raśl M. Grijalva |
| House 8 | R | Republican Congressman Jim Kolbe |
| Arkansas | ||
| President | LR (6) | **WATCH** leans Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | D | Democratic Senator Blanche Lambert Lincoln |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Marion Berry |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Vic Snyder |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman John Boozman |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Mike Ross |
| California | ||
| President | D (55) | Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| Senate 3 | D | Democratic Senator Barbara Boxer |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman C. Michael "Mike" Thompson |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Wally Herger |
| House 3 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Daniel E. "Dan" Lungren |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman John T. Doolittle |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Robert T. Matsui |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman Lynn Woolsey |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman George Miller |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman Nancy Pelosi |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Barbara Lee |
| House 10 | D | Democratic Congressman Ellen O. Tauscher |
| House 11 | R | Republican Congressman Richard W. Pombo |
| House 12 | D | Democratic Congressman Tom Lantos |
| House 13 | D | Democratic Congressman Fortney "Pete" Stark |
| House 14 | D | Democratic Congressman Anna G. Eshoo |
| House 15 | D | Democratic Congressman Michael M. "Mike" Honda |
| House 16 | D | Democratic Congressman Zoe Lofgren |
| House 17 | D | Democratic Congressman Sam Farr |
| House 18 | D | Democratic Congressman Dennis A. Cardoza |
| House 19 | R | Republican Congressman George P. Radanovich |
| House 20 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Jim Costa |
| House 21 | R | Republican Congressman Devin Nunes |
| House 22 | R | Republican Congressman Bill Thomas |
| House 23 | D | Democratic Congressman Lois Capps |
| House 24 | R | Republican Congressman Elton Gallegly |
| House 25 | R | Republican Congressman Howard P. "Buck" McKeon |
| House 26 | R | Republican Congressman David Dreier |
| House 27 | D | Democratic Congressman Brad Sherman |
| House 28 | D | Democratic Congressman Howard L. Berman |
| House 29 | D | Democratic Congressman Adam B. Schiff |
| House 30 | D | Democratic Congressman Henry A. Waxman |
| House 31 | D | Democratic Congressman Xavier Becerra |
| House 32 | D | Democratic Congressman Hilda L. Solis |
| House 33 | D | Democratic Congressman Diane E. Watson |
| House 34 | D | Democratic Congressman Lucille Roybal-Allard |
| House 35 | D | Democratic Congressman Maxine Waters |
| House 36 | D | Democratic Congressman Jane Harman |
| House 37 | D | Democratic Congressman Juanita Millender-McDonald |
| House 38 | D | Democratic Congressman Grace Flores Napolitano |
| House 39 | D | Democratic Congressman Linda T. Sanchez |
| House 40 | R | Republican Congressman Edward R. Royce |
| House 41 | R | Republican Congressman Jerry Lewis |
| House 42 | R | Republican Congressman Gary G. Miller |
| House 43 | D | Democratic Congressman Joe Baca |
| House 44 | R | Republican Congressman Ken Calvert |
| House 45 | R | Republican Congressman Mary Bono |
| House 46 | R | Republican Congressman Dana Rohrabacher |
| House 47 | D | Democratic Congressman Loretta Sanchez |
| House 48 | R | Republican Congressman Christopher Cox |
| House 49 | R | Republican Congressman Darrell E. Issa |
| House 50 | R | Republican Congressman Randy "Duke" Cunningham |
| House 51 | D | Democratic Congressman Bob Filner |
| House 52 | R | Republican Congressman Duncan Hunter |
| House 53 | D | Democratic Congressman Susan A. Davis |
| Colorado | ||
| President | T (9) | **WATCH** Toss-up. It appears that Amendment 36, which would allocate Colorado's 9 electoral votes proportionately, will not pass. |
| Senate 3 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Toss-up: Democratic Ken Salazar vs. Republican Peter Coors |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Diana DeGette |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Mark Udall |
| House 3 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Leans Republican. Republican Greg E. Walcher vs. Democratic John T. Salazar |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Marilyn Musgrave |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Joel Hefley |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Tom Tancredo |
| House 7 | LR | **WATCH** Republican Congressman Bob Beauprez |
| Connecticut | ||
| President | D (7) | Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| Senate 3 | D | Democratic Senator Christopher J. Dodd |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman John B. Larson |
| House 2 | T | **WATCH** Leans slightly Republican. Republican Congressman Rob Simmons vs. Democrat Jim Sullivan |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Rosa L. DeLauro |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Christopher Shays |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Nancy L. Johnson |
| Delaware | ||
| President | D (3) | Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| Governor | D | Democratic Governor Ruth Ann Minner |
| Lieutenant Governor | D | Democratic Lieutenant Governor John C. Carney, Jr. |
| House | R | Republican Congressman Michael N. Castle |
| Commissioner of Insurance | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Daivd H. Ennis |
| District of Columbia | ||
| President | D (3) | Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| Delegate to the House of Representatives | D | Democratic Territorial Delegate Eleanor Holmes Norton |
| Florida | ||
| President | T (27) | **WATCH** Toss-up |
| Senate 3 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Toss-up Democratic Betty Castor vs. Republican Melquiades Rafael "Mel" Martinez |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Jefferson B. "Jeff" Miller |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman F. Allen Boyd, Jr. |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Corrine Brown |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Ander Crenshaw |
| House 5 | LR | **WATCH** Republican Congressman Virginia "Ginny" Brown-Waite |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Clifford B. "Cliff" Stearns |
| House 7 | R | Republican Congressman John L. Mica |
| House 8 | R | Republican Congressman Richard Anthony "Ric" Keller |
| House 9 | R | Republican Congressman Michael Bilirakis |
| House 10 | R | Republican Congressman C.W. "Bill" Young |
| House 11 | D | Democratic Congressman Jim Davis |
| House 12 | R | Republican Congressman Adam H. Putnam |
| House 13 | R | Republican Congressman Katherine Harris |
| House 14 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Connie Mack, IV |
| House 15 | R | Republican Congressman David "Dave" Weldon |
| House 16 | R | Republican Congressman Mark A. Foley |
| House 17 | D | Democratic Congressman Kendrick B. Meek |
| House 18 | R | Republican Congressman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen |
| House 19 | D | Democratic Congressman Robert Wexler |
| House 20 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Debbie Wasserman Schultz |
| House 21 | R | Republican Congressman Lincoln Diaz-Balart |
| House 22 | R | Republican Congressman Clay Shaw |
| House 23 | D | Democratic Congressman Alcee L. Hastings |
| House 24 | R | Republican Congressman Tom Feeney |
| House 25 | R | Republican Congressman Mario Diaz-Balart |
| Georgia | ||
| President | R (15) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Johnny Isakson |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Jack Kingston |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Sanford Dixon Bishop, Jr. |
| House 3 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic Congressman Jim Marshall |
| House 4 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Cynthia A. McKinney |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman John Lewis |
| House 6 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Thomas E. Price |
| House 7 | R | Republican Congressman John Linder |
| House 8 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Lynn Westmoreland |
| House 9 | R | Republican Congressman Charlie Norwood |
| House 10 | R | Republican Congressman Nathan Deal |
| House 11 | LR | **WATCH** leans Republican. Incumbent Republican Congressman Phil Gingrey vs. Democratic Rick Crawford |
| House 12 | T | **WATCH** Toss-up. Incumbent Republican Congressman Max Burns vs. Democratic John Barrow |
| House 13 | D | Democratic Congressman David Scott |
| Guam | ||
| Delegate to the House of Representatives | D | Democratic Territorial Delegate Madeleine Bordallo |
| Hawaii | ||
| President | D (4) | Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| Senate 3 | D | Democratic Senator Daniel K. Inouye |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Neil Abercrombie |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Ed Case |
| Idaho | ||
| President | R (4) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | R | Republican Senator Mike Crapo |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman C.L. "Butch" Otter |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Michael K. "Mike" Simpson |
| Illinois | ||
| President | D (21) | Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| Senate 3 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Barack Obama |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Bobby L. Rush |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Jesse L. Jackson, Jr. |
| House 3 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Dan Lipinski |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Luis V. Gutierrez |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Rahm Emanuel |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Henry J. Hyde |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Danny K. Davis |
| House 8 | LR | **WATCH** Leans Republican. Republican Congressman Philip M. Crane vs. Democrat Melissa Bean |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Janice D. Schakowsky |
| House 10 | R | Republican Congressman Mark Steven Kirk |
| House 11 | R | Republican Congressman Gerald C. "Jerry" Weller |
| House 12 | D | Democratic Congressman Jerry F. Costello |
| House 13 | R | Republican Congressman Judy Biggert |
| House 14 | R | Republican Congressman J. Dennis Hastert |
| House 15 | R | Republican Congressman Timothy V. "Tim" Johnson |
| House 16 | R | Republican Congressman Donald A. Manzullo |
| House 17 | D | Democratic Congressman Lane A. Evans |
| House 18 | R | Republican Congressman Ray LaHood |
| House 19 | R | Republican Congressman John M. Shimkus |
| Indiana | ||
| President | R (11) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | D | Democratic Senator Evan Bayh |
| Governor | T | **WATCH** Toss-up: Incumbent Democratic Governor Joseph E. "Joe" Kernan vs. Republican Mitchell E. "Mitch" Daniels, Jr. |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Peter J. Visclosky |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Chris Chocola |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Mark Souder |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Steve Buyer |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Dan Burton |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Mike Pence |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Julia M. Carson |
| House 8 | LR | **WATCH** Republican Congressman John N. Hostettler |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Baron P. Hill |
| Attorney General | R | Republican Attorney General Steve Carter |
| Superintendent of Public Instruction | R | Republican Public Instruction Superintendent Suellen Reed |
| Iowa | ||
| President | T (7) | **WATCH** Toss-up. |
| Senate 3 | R | Republican Senator Charles "Chuck" Grassley |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Jim Nussle |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman James A. "Jim" Leach |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Leonard L. Boswell |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Tom Latham |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Steve King |
| Kansas | ||
| President | R (6) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | R | Republican Senator Samuel D. Brownback |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Jerry Moran |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Jim Ryun |
| House 3 | LD | **WATCH** Leans Democrat. Incumbert Democratic Congressman Dennis Moore vs. Republican Kris Kobach |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Todd Tiahrt |
| Kentucky | ||
| President | R (8) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | T | **WATCH** Leans to Republican Senator Jim Bunning |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Edward Whitfield |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Ron Lewis |
| House 3 | LR | **WATCH** Republican Congressman Anne Meagher Northup |
| House 4 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Toss-up. Democratic Nick Clooney vs. Republican Geoff Davis |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Harold "Hal" Rogers |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman A.B. "Ben" Chandler, III |
| Louisiana | ||
| President | R (9) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Runoff possible. Should no candidate receive 50% on 2 November, the two top vote-getters will participate in a Saturday 4 December runoff. Polls: Repuplican David Vitter (47%), Democratic Christopher John (21%), Democratic John N. Kennedy (15%) |
| House 1 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Piyush "Bobby" Jindal |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman William J. "Bill" Jefferson |
| House 3 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Toss-up. Leans slightly Republican |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman "Jim" McCrery |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Rodney Alexander |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Richard H. Baker |
| House 7 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Leans Democrat |
| Maine | ||
| President | LD (4) | **WATCH** Leaning Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Thomas H. Allen |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Michael H. Michaud |
| Maryland | ||
| President | D (10) | Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| Senate 3 | D | Democratic Senator Barbara A. Mikulski |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Wayne T. Gilchrest |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman C.A. Dutch Ruppersberger |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Benjamin L. Cardin |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Albert R. Wynn |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Steny H. Hoyer |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Roscoe G. Bartlett |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Elijah E. Cummings |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman Christopher Van Hollen, Jr. |
| Massachusetts | ||
| President | D (12) | Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman John W. Olver |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Richard E. Neal |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman James P. McGovern |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Barney Frank |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Martin T. Meehan |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman John F. Tierney |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Edward J. Markey |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman Michael E. Capuano |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Stephen F. Lynch |
| House 10 | D | Democratic Congressman William D. Delahunt |
| Michigan | ||
| President | LD (17) | **WATCH** Leans Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Bart Stupak |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Peter Hoekstra |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Vernon J. Ehlers |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Dave Camp |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Dale E. Kildee |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Fred Upton |
| House 7 | LR | **NO INCUMBENT** Leaning Republican John "Joe" Schwarz |
| House 8 | R | Republican Congressman Mike Rogers |
| House 9 | R | Republican Congressman Joe Knollenberg |
| House 10 | R | Republican Congressman Candice S. Miller |
| House 11 | R | Republican Congressman Thaddeus G. McCotter |
| House 12 | D | Democratic Congressman Sander Levin |
| House 13 | D | Democratic Congressman Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick |
| House 14 | D | Democratic Congressman John Conyers, Jr. |
| House 15 | D | Democratic Congressman John D. Dingell |
| Minnesota | ||
| President | T (10) | **WATCH** Toss-up. |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Gil Gutknecht |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman John Kline |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Jim Ramstad |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Betty McCollum |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Martin Olav Sabo |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Mark R. Kennedy |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Collin C. Peterson |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman James L. Oberstar |
| Mississippi | ||
| President | R (6) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Roger F. Wicker |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Bennie G. Thompson |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Charles W. "Chip" Pickering, Jr. |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Gene Taylor |
| Missouri | ||
| President | LR (11) | **WATCH** Leans Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | R | Republican Senator Christopher "Kit" Bond |
| Governor | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Toss-up: Democratic Auditor Claire McCaskill vs. Republican Secretary of State Matt Blunt |
| Lieutenant Governor | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Peter Kinder |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman William Lacy Clay, Jr. |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Todd Akin |
| House 3 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Russ Carnahan |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Ike Skelton |
| House 5 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Emanuel Cleaver, II |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Samuel B. "Sam" Graves, Jr. |
| House 7 | R | Republican Congressman Roy Blunt |
| House 8 | R | Republican Congressman Jo Ann Emerson |
| House 9 | R | Republican Congressman Kenny C. Hulshof |
| Secretary of State | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Robin Carnahan |
| Attorney General | D | Democratic Attorney General Jeremiah W. "Jay" Nixon |
| Treasurer | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Mark Powell |
| Montana | ||
| President | R (3) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| Governor | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Toss-up to Leaning Democratic: Democratic Brian Schweitzer vs. Republican Secretary of State Bob Brown |
| House | R | Republican Congressman Dennis "Denny" Rehberg |
| Secretary of State | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Bill Kennedy |
| Attorney General | D | Democratic Attorney General Mike McGrath |
| Auditor | D | Democratic Auditor John Morrison |
| Superintendent of Public Instruction | D | Democratic Public Instruction Superintendent Linda H. McCulloch |
| Nebraska | ||
| President | R (5) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| House 1 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Jeff Fortenberry |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Lee Terry |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Tom Osborne |
| Nevada | ||
| President | T (5) | **WATCH** Toss-up but leaning towards to Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | D | Democratic Senator Harry Reid |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Shelley Berkley |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Jim Gibbons |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Jon Porter |
| New Hampshire | ||
| President | T (4) | **WATCH** Toss-up: |
| Senate 3 | R | Republican Senator Judd Gregg |
| Governor | T | **WATCH** Toss-up but possibly leaning Republican: Republican Governor Craig R. Benson vs. Democrat John Lynch |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Jeb Bradley |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Charles Bass |
| New Jersey | ||
| President | LD (15) | **WATCH** Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Robert E. Andrews |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Frank A. LoBiondo |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Jim Saxton |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Christopher H. Smith |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Scott Garrett |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman Frank Pallone, Jr. |
| House 7 | R | Republican Congressman Mike Ferguson |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman Bill Pascrell, Jr. |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Steven R. Rothman |
| House 10 | D | Democratic Congressman Donald M. Payne |
| House 11 | R | Republican Congressman Rodney P. Frelinghuysen |
| House 12 | D | Democratic Congressman Rush Holt |
| House 13 | D | Democratic Congressman Robert Menendez |
| New Mexico | ||
| President | T (5) | **WATCH** Toss-up |
| House 1 | T | **WATCH** Leans slightly Republican. Republican Congressman Heather A. Wilson vs. Democrat Richard M. Romero |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Steve Pearce |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Tom Udall |
| New York | ||
| President | D (31) | Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| Senate 3 | D | Democratic Senator Chuck E. Schumer |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Timothy H. "Tim" Bishop |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Steve J. Israel |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Peter T. King |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Carolyn McCarthy |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Gary L. Ackerman |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman Gregory W. Meeks |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Joseph Crowley |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman Jerrold L. Nadler |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Anthony D. Weiner |
| House 10 | D | Democratic Congressman Edolphus "Ed" Towns |
| House 11 | D | Democratic Congressman Major R. Owens |
| House 12 | D | Democratic Congressman Nydia M. Velazquez |
| House 13 | R | Republican Congressman Vito J. Fossella |
| House 14 | D | Democratic Congressman Carolyn B. Maloney |
| House 15 | D | Democratic Congressman Charles B. Rangel |
| House 16 | D | Democratic Congressman Jose E. Serrano |
| House 17 | D | Democratic Congressman Eliot L. Engel |
| House 18 | D | Democratic Congressman Nita M. Lowey |
| House 19 | R | Republican Congressman Sue W. Kelly |
| House 20 | R | Republican Congressman John E. Sweeney |
| House 21 | D | Democratic Congressman Michael R. McNulty |
| House 22 | D | Democratic Congressman Maurice D. Hinchey |
| House 23 | R | Republican Congressman John M. McHugh |
| House 24 | R | Republican Congressman Sherwood L. "Sherry" Boehlert |
| House 25 | R | Republican Congressman James T. Walsh |
| House 26 | R | Republican Congressman Thomas M. Reynolds |
| House 27 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Toss-up: Democratic Brian M. Higgins vs. Republican Nancy A. Naples |
| House 28 | D | Democratic Congressman Louise McIntosh Slaughter |
| House 29 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican State Senator John "Randy" Kuhl |
| North Carolina | ||
| President | LR (15) | **WATCH** Leans Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Toss-up: Democratic Erskine B. Bowles vs. Republican Congressman Richard M. Burr |
| Governor | LD | Democratic Governor Mike Easley |
| Lieutenant Governor | D | Democratic Lieutenant Governor Beverly Eaves Perdue |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman G. K. Butterfield |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Bob Etheridge |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Walter B. Jones, Jr. |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman David Price |
| House 5 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Virginia Foxx |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Howard Coble |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Mike McIntyre |
| House 8 | R | Republican Congressman Robert C. "Robin" Hayes |
| House 9 | R | Republican Congressman Sue Myrick |
| House 10 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Patrick T. McHenry |
| House 11 | R | Republican Congressman Charles H. Taylor |
| House 12 | D | Democratic Congressman Mel Watt |
| House 13 | D | Democratic Congressman Brad Miller |
| Secretary of State | D | Democratic Secretary of State Elaine F. Marshall |
| Attorney General | D | Democratic Attorney General Roy Cooper |
| Treasurer | D | Democratic Treasurer Richard Hancock Moore |
| Auditor | D | Democratic Auditor Ralph Campbell, Jr. |
| Commissioner of Agriculture | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Steve Troxler |
| Commissioner of Insurance | D | Democratic Insurance Commissioner Jim Long |
| Commissioner of Labor | R | Republican Labor Commissioner Cherie Killian Berry |
| Superintendent of Public Instruction | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic June S. Atkinson |
| North Dakota | ||
| President | R (3) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | D | Democratic Senator Byron L. Dorgan |
| Governor | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Governor John Hoeven |
| House | D | Democratic Congressman Earl Pomeroy |
| Secretary of State | R | Republican Secretary of State Alvin A. "Al" Jaeger |
| Attorney General | R | Republican Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem |
| Treasurer | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Dean Meyer |
| Auditor | R | Republican Auditor Robert "Bob" Peterson |
| Commissioner of Agriculture | D | Democratic Agriculture Commissioner Roger Johnson |
| Tax Commissioner | R | Republican Tax Commissioner Rick Clayburgh |
| Commissioner of Insurance | R | Republican Insurance Commissioner Jim Poolman |
| Superintendent of Public Instruction | N | Nonpartisan Public Instruction Superintendent Wayne G. Sanstead |
| Public Service Commissioner 1 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** (no polling data) |
| Northern Marianas | ||
| Ohio | ||
| President | T (20) | **WATCH** Toss-up |
| Senate 3 | R | Republican U.S. Senator George V. Voinovich |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Steve Chabot |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Rob Portman |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Michael R. Turner |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Michael G. Oxley |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Paul E. Gillmor |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman Ted Strickland |
| House 7 | R | Republican Congressman Dave Hobson |
| House 8 | R | Republican Congressman John A. Boehner |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Marcy Kaptur |
| House 10 | D | Democratic Congressman Dennis J. Kucinich |
| House 11 | D | Democratic Congressman Stephanie Tubbs Jones |
| House 12 | R | Republican Congressman Pat Tiberi |
| House 13 | D | Democratic Congressman Sherrod Brown |
| House 14 | R | Republican Congressman Steven C. LaTourette |
| House 15 | R | Republican Congressman Deborah Pryce |
| House 16 | R | Republican Congressman Ralph Regula |
| House 17 | D | Democratic Congressman Timothy J. Ryan |
| House 18 | R | Republican Congressman Bob Ney |
| Oklahoma | ||
| President | R (7) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Toss-up: Democratic Congressman Brad Carson vs. former Republican Congressman Tom Coburn |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman John Sullivan |
| House 2 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Leans Democratic Dan Boren |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Frank D. Lucas |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Tom Cole |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Ernest Istook |
| Corporation Commissioner 1 | R | Republican Corporation Commissioner Denise A. Bode |
| Oregon | ||
| President | LD (7) | **WATCH** Leans Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| Senate 3 | D | Democratic Senator Ron Wyden |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman David Wu |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman Gregory Paul Walden |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Earl Blumenauer |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Peter A. Defazio |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Darlene Hooley |
| Secretary of State | D | Democratic Secretary of State Bill Bradbury |
| Attorney General | D | Democratic Hardy Myers |
| Treasurer | D | Democratic Randall Edwards |
| Pennsylvania | ||
| President | T (21) | **WATCH** Leans slighly to Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| Senate 3 | R | Republican Senator Arlen Specter |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Robert A. Brady |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Chaka Fattah |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Phil English |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Melissa Hart |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman John E. Peterson |
| House 6 | LR | **WATCH** Republican Congressman Jim Gerlach |
| House 7 | R | Republican Congressman Curt Weldon |
| House 8 | LR | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Michael G. "Mike" Fitzpatrick |
| House 9 | R | Republican Congressman Bill Shuster |
| House 10 | R | Republican Congressman Don Sherwood |
| House 11 | D | Democratic Congressman Paul E. Kanjorski |
| House 12 | D | Democratic Congressman John P. Murtha |
| House 13 | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Allyson Schwartz |
| House 14 | D | Democratic Congressman Mike Doyle |
| House 15 | LR | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Charles W. Dent |
| House 16 | R | Republican Congressman Joseph R. Pitts |
| House 17 | D | Democratic Congressman Tim Holden |
| House 18 | R | Republican Congressman Tim Murphy |
| House 19 | R | Republican Congressman Todd Platts |
| Attorney General | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Tom Corbett |
| Treasurer | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Robert P. "Bob" Casey, Jr. |
| Auditor General | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Jack Wagner |
| Puerto Rico | ||
| Territorial Governor | PNP | **NO INCUMBENT** Partido Nuevo Progresista Pedro Rossello |
| Delegate to the House of Representatives | PPD | **NO INCUMBENT** Partido Popular Democratico Roberto Prats |
| Rhode Island | ||
| President | D (4) | Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Patrick J. Kennedy |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman James R. Langevin |
| South Carolina | ||
| President | R (8) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | LR | **NO INCUMBENT** Leans to Republican Congressman Jim DeMint |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Henry E. Brown |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman A. G. "Joe" Wilson |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman J. Gresham Barrett |
| House 4 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Bob Inglis |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman John Spratt |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman James E. "Jim" Clyburn |
| South Dakota | ||
| President | R (3) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| Senate 3 | T | **WATCH** Slightly leans Democrat. Incumbent Democratic Senator Tom Daschle vs. Republican John R. Thune |
| House | D | Democratic Congressman Stephanie Herseth |
| Tennessee | ||
| President | R (11) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman William L. "Bill" Jenkins |
| House 2 | R | Republican Congressman John J. Duncan, Jr. |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Zach Wamp |
| House 4 | D | Democratic Congressman Lincoln Davis |
| House 5 | D | Democratic Congressman Jim Cooper |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman Bart Gordon |
| House 7 | R | Republican Congressman Marsha Blackburn |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman John S. Tanner |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Harold E. Ford, Jr. |
| Texas | ||
| President | R (34) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| House 1 | T | **WATCH** Toss-up: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Max Sandlin vs. Republican Louis Gohmert |
| House 2 | T | **WATCH** Toss-up: Democratic Congressman Nicholas "Nick" Lampson (incumbent CD 8) vs. Republican Ted Poe |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Sam Johnson |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Ralph Hall |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Jeb Hensarling |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Joe Barton |
| House 7 | R | Republican Congressman John Culberson |
| House 8 | R | Republican Congressman Kevin Brady |
| House 9 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Al Green |
| House 10 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Michael T. McCaul |
| House 11 | LR | **NO INCUMBENT** Leans Republican Mike Conaway |
| House 12 | R | Republican Congressman Kay Granger |
| House 13 | R | Republican Congressman Mac Thornberry |
| House 14 | R | Republican Congressman Ron Paul |
| House 15 | D | Democratic Congressman Ruben Hinojosa |
| House 16 | D | Democratic Congressman Silvestre Reyes |
| House 17 | T | **WATCH** Democratic Congressman Chet Edwards (incumbent CD 11) vs. Republican Arlene Wohlgemuth |
| House 18 | D | Democratic Congressman Sheila Jackson Lee |
| House 19 | LR | **MULTIPLE INCUMBENTS** Leans Republican: Republican Congressman Randy Neugebauer (incumbent CD 19) vs. Democratic Congressman Charles W. "Charlie" Stenholm (incumbent CD 17) |
| House 20 | D | Democratic Congressman Charles A. Gonzalez |
| House 21 | R | Republican Congressman Lamar Smith |
| House 22 | R | Republican Congressman Tom DeLay |
| House 23 | LR | **WATCH** Republican Congressman Henry Bonilla |
| House 24 | R | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Kenny Marchant |
| House 25 | D | Democratic Congressman Lloyd Doggett (incumbent CD 10) |
| House 26 | R | Republican Congressman Michael C. Burgess |
| House 27 | D | Democratic Congressman Solomon P. Ortiz |
| House 28 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Henry Cuellar |
| House 29 | D | Democratic Congressman Gene Green |
| House 30 | D | Democratic Congressman Eddie Bernice Johnson |
| House 31 | R | Republican Congressman John R. Carter |
| House 32 | T | **MULTIPLE INCUMBENTS** Democratic Congressman Martin Frost (incumbent CD 24) vs. Republican Congressman Pete Sessions (incumbent CD 32) |
| Railroad Commissioner 1 | R | Republican Railroad Commissioner (Chairman) Victor G. Carrillo |
| Utah | ||
| President | R (5) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| Governor | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Leans slightly to Republican Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. |
| Senate 3 | R | Republican Senator Robert F. Bennett |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Rob Bishop |
| House 2 | LD | **WATCH** Leans Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jim Matheson |
| House 3 | R | Republican Congressman Chris Cannon |
| Attorney General | R | Republican Attorney General Mark Shurtleff |
| Treasurer | R | Republican Treasurer Edward T. "Ed" Alter |
| Auditor | R | Republican Auditor Auston G. Johnson |
| Vermont | ||
| President | D (3) | Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| Senate 3 | D | Democratic Senator Patrick Leahy |
| Governor | LR | **WATCH** Leans Republican Governor James H. "Jim" Douglas |
| Lieutenant Governor | T | Republican Lieutenant Governor Brian E. Dubie |
| House | I | Independent Congressman Bernie Sanders |
| Secretary of State | D | Democratic Secretary of State Deborah L. "Deb" Markowitz |
| Attorney General | D | Democratic Attorney General William H. "Bill" Sorrell |
| Treasurer | D | Democratic Treasurer Jeb Spaulding |
| Auditor of Accounts | D | Democratic Auditor of Accounts Elizabeth M. Ready |
| Virgin Islands | ||
| Delegate to the House of Representatives | D | Democratic Territorial Delegate Donna M. Christensen |
| Virginia | ||
| President | LR (13) | **WATCH** Republican President George W. Bush |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Jo Ann S. Davis |
| House 2 | LR | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Thelma D. Drake |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Robert C. "Bobby" Scott |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman J. Randy Forbes |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman Virgil H. Goode, Jr. |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Robert W. "Bob" Goodlatte |
| House 7 | R | Republican Congressman Eric I. Cantor |
| House 8 | D | Democratic Congressman James P. "Jim" Moran, Jr. |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Frederick C. "Rick" Boucher |
| House 10 | R | Republican Congressman Frank R. Wolf |
| House 11 | R | Republican Congressman Thomas M. Davis, III |
| Washington | ||
| President | LD (11) | **WATCH** Leans Democratic Senator John F. Kerry |
| Governor | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Attorney General Christine Gregoire |
| Lieutenant Governor | D | Democratic Lieutenant Governor Brad Owen |
| Senate 3 | D | Democratic Senator Patty Murray |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Jay Inslee |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Rick Larsen |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Brian Baird |
| House 4 | R | Republican Congressman Doc Hastings |
| House 5 | LR | **NO INCUMBENT** Republican Cathy McMorris |
| House 6 | D | Democratic Congressman Norm Dicks |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman Jim McDermott |
| House 8 | T | **NO INCUMBENT** Toss-up: Democratic Dave Ross vs. Republican Dave Reichert |
| House 9 | D | Democratic Congressman Adam Smith |
| Secretary of State | R | Republican Secretary of State Sam Reed |
| Attorney General | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Deborah Senn |
| Treasurer | D | Democratic Treasurer Michael J. "Mike" Murphy |
| Auditor | D | Democratic Auditor Brian Sonntag |
| Commissioner of Public Lands | T | **WATCH** (no polling data) |
| Insurance Commissioner | D | Democratic Insurance Commissioner Mike Kreidler |
| Superintendent of Public Instruction | T | **WATCH** (no polling data) |
| West Virginia | ||
| President | T (5) | **WATCH** Toss-up but leaning towards Republican President George W. Bush |
| Governor | LD | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Secretary of State Joe Manchin, III |
| House 1 | D | Democratic Congressman Alan B. Mollohan |
| House 2 | LR | **WATCH** Republican Congressman Shelley Moore Capito |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Nick Joe Rahall, II |
| Secretary of State | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Ken Hechler |
| Attorney General | D | Democratic Attorney General Darrell McGraw |
| Treasurer | D | Democratic Treasurer John D. Perdue |
| Auditor | D | Democratic Auditor Glen B. Gainer, III |
| Commissioner of Agriculture | D | Democratic Agriculture Commissioner Gus R. Douglass |
| Wisconsin | ||
| President | T (10) | **WATCH** Toss-up |
| Senate 3 | LD | **WATCH** Democratic Senator Russ Feingold |
| House 1 | R | Republican Congressman Paul D. Ryan |
| House 2 | D | Democratic Congressman Tammy Baldwin |
| House 3 | D | Democratic Congressman Ron Kind |
| House 4 | D | **NO INCUMBENT** Democratic Gwendolynne "Gwen" Moore |
| House 5 | R | Republican Congressman F. James Sensenbrenner, Jr. |
| House 6 | R | Republican Congressman Thomas E. "Tom" Petri |
| House 7 | D | Democratic Congressman David R. Obey |
| House 8 | R | Republican Congressman Mark Green |
| Wyoming | ||
| President | R (3) | Republican President George W. Bush |
| House | R | Republican Congressman Barbara Cubin |